FORMATION OF THE LATEST TENDENCIES OF ECONOMIC RECOVERY OF UKRAINE IN THE POST-CONFLICT PERIOD

Abstract

The article deals with the analysis of tendencies of economic recovery of Ukraine in the post-conflict period. The mechanism of influence of international financial institutions on the development of financial capacity of the state in the postconflict period is presented and the optimal forms of interaction of Ukraine with international donors are revealed. The list of directions and tasks of reconstruction and economic development of Donbass by individual sectors and by scenarios of its reintegration is outlined. The experience of developing plans for the reconstruction and reintegration of the Donbas territory is analysed. The problems of creating a strategy for restoring the destroyed potential of the region are investigated. The general model of development of strategic documents for restoration of Donbass is offered. It is determined that the consequences of the military conflict on the territory of Ukraine (temporary occupation of part of Donetsk and Lugansk regions and annexation of the Crimea peninsula; violation of the integrity of the country's economic complex and sectoral imbalances; internal and external economic relations, etc.) have led to the fact that the domestic macroeconomic system has acquired fundamentally new qualities, which made it impossible. It analyses and forecasts the dynamics of investment processes on the basis of pre-crisis patterns. In general, with the loss of control of part of the territory by the government and ongoing fighting in society, transformational processes have begun, aimed at mobilizing resources as quickly as possible to prevent further escalation of the conflict. The domestic economy, which was not ready for military aggression, was forced to take the first steps to move to a new state - a wartime economy. A definitive assessment of the consequences of this is possible only after the end of hostilities, and current calculations only make it possible to predict with a certain probability the further development of the situation. Today, the strengthening of Ukraine's financial potential is under the significant influence of the World Bank Group and International Monetary Fund organizations through lending, providing guarantees and loans, consulting specialized agencies, which has a positive effect on peacebuilding and economic recovery.